Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 6.263790 6.897888 7.573858 8.349050 9.214634 10.152732 11.248159
2025-11-30 5.330168 6.215919 7.222615 8.455521 9.930248 11.644342 13.797307
2025-12-07 4.533048 5.549436 6.769494 8.351194 10.360867 12.846798 16.182049
2025-12-14 3.875385 4.946868 6.295390 8.133040 10.596383 13.818804 18.409972
2025-12-21 3.422299 4.533748 5.992929 8.072930 11.000763 15.033692 21.111790
2025-12-28 3.144135 4.309782 5.900989 8.266426 11.752853 16.797077 24.822482
2026-01-04 2.901485 4.101248 5.797850 8.418499 12.448403 18.551769 28.770554
2026-01-11 2.663056 3.868967 5.629108 8.443808 12.942838 20.049727 32.527511
2026-01-18 2.433543 3.623609 5.410829 8.360110 13.243899 21.263842 35.981485
2026-01-25 2.228225 3.393186 5.188920 8.239342 13.459073 22.347492 39.354600
2026-02-01 2.047739 3.183511 4.976978 8.106781 13.629474 23.361452 42.738172
2026-02-08 1.893464 3.001165 4.790316 7.993020 13.811667 24.406491 46.326111
2026-02-15 1.763024 2.849300 4.644325 7.941515 14.112879 25.734509 50.753859
2026-02-22 1.683705 2.776041 4.624019 8.110498 14.842076 27.974985 57.465654
2026-03-01 1.575057 2.643076 4.487875 8.052143 15.127914 29.379286 62.632328
2026-03-08 1.458276 2.486220 4.295415 7.867115 15.139665 30.221974 66.684475
2026-03-15 1.373396 2.379221 4.183354 7.823915 15.430938 31.687744 72.459389
2026-03-22 1.328049 2.340164 4.192702 8.019875 16.243331 34.400362 81.807363
2026-03-29 1.280426 2.292830 4.181780 8.172535 16.979937 37.047691 91.534413
2026-04-05 1.221576 2.219596 4.114468 8.200477 17.442402 39.121453 100.169515
2026-04-12 1.155457 2.127429 4.002343 8.121563 17.651073 40.612748 107.504009
2026-04-19 1.090734 2.033351 3.878949 8.005902 17.759618 41.870571 114.435991
2026-04-26 1.029870 1.942698 3.755557 7.878293 17.824337 43.026033 121.317128